Editorial: Political math

WHO would not want to have been a fly on the wall of the provincial NDP war room election night May 9 when it began to sink in that the party would not hold the Skeena riding?

After all, the party had held the riding for the past the 12 years and three provincial elections at a time when the BC Liberals formed three majority governments.

So consider the profound disappointment as NDP strategists began doing the math, numbers that are now so crucial.

As we know, the BC Liberals came away from the provincial election with 43 seats, the NDP 41 and the BC Greens three to make up the 87-seat legislature.

With the NDP/Green agreement now looming, that’ll result in a 44-seat governing arrangement. But with one of those MLAs likely to become the Speaker of the legislature, the result is a tie – 43 seats for the NDP/Greens and 43 for the BC Liberals, hardly a stable government in the making.

But look at the math if the NDP had held Skeena. The result would have been 42 BC Liberal seats, 42 NDP seats and three Green seats so that the NDP/Green governing deal would have produced 45 seats. Subtract one for the Speaker and that leaves 44 seats, a two-seat edge over the 42 for the BC Liberals, making for a more stable, albeit still slim, governing margin.

If NDP leader John Horgan keeps a diary, the first line election night could very well have been “If only we held Skeena …..”

Just Posted

Kitselas receives $700K in forest sector funding

Ottawa investments target land reclamation and biomass energy study

Great BC ShakeOut returns to test earthquake readiness

More than 5,000 residents in the Kitimat-Stikine regional district participated this year

A rundown of what legalized marijuana means for Terrace

A summary of the updated city bylaws, online provincial sales, and what isn’t allowed

Man sprayed with bear mace

Police briefs from Oct. 5-11

Northern Savings buys old Dairy Queen building

Old Prince Rupert DQ building has been vacant in since the 1990s

B.C. NDP retreats again on empty-home tax for urban areas

Rate reduced for all Canadians, dissident mayors to get annual meeting

Two B.C. cannabis dispensaries raided on legalization day

Port Alberni dispensaries ticketed for “unlawful sale” of cannabis

Earthquake early-warning sensors installed off coast of B.C.

The first-of-its kind warning sensors are developed by Ocean Networks Canada

VPD ordered to co-operate with B.C. police watchdog probe

According to the IIO, a court is ordering Vancouver police to co-operate with an investigation into a fatal shooting

B.C. woman looks to reduce stigma surrounding weed-smoking moms

Shannon Chiarenza, a Vancouver mom of two, started weedmama.ca to act as a guide for newcomers to legal cannabis, specifically mothers

B.C. teen gives away tickets to Ellen Degeneres show, plans O Canada welcome

The Grade 9 student wanted to give away tickets in the spirit of inclusivity

Canada’s top general takes aim at new reports of military sexual assault

Gen. Jonathan Vance is unhappy some troops continue to ignore his order to cease all sexual misconduct

Ignoring climate change poses potential catastrophe for B.C.

Fisheries scientist says ‘extraordinary challenges’ in water management lie ahead

Most Read